Every burger brand claims they’re the next great growth story.

CEOs talk pipelines. PR teams talk innovation. But at the end of the day, franchisees don’t bank hype — they bank cash flow.

That’s why we put the burger sector through our No Bullsh*t Intel Report framework: CapEx vs. AUVs, royalties, franchisee alignment, training + support, and what real operators are saying on the ground.

The goal: call out the true green lights — the brands where marketing and reality actually align.

McDonald’s: Digital Scale + Consistency

  • Intel Check: Global AUV north of $3M, digital kiosks + loyalty programs accelerating order values, and 90%+ franchise ownership ensures operators stay aligned.

  • Quote Alignment: “We’re committed to driving franchisee profitability alongside system growth.” — McDonald’s leadership, 2024 earnings call.

  • Verdict: 🟢 McDonald’s remains the benchmark. Growth talk = backed by numbers.

Culver’s: Steady Wins in the Midwest

  • Intel Check: High customer loyalty, strong daypart coverage (ButterBurgers + frozen custard), and low churn among franchisees.

  • Quote Alignment: “Our focus is on sustainable growth and supporting owner-operators, not chasing headlines.” — Culver’s executive, 2025 press release.

  • Verdict: 🟢 Genuine operator-first culture. Marketing matches performance.

Five Guys: Premium Positioning Holds

  • Intel Check: AUVs consistently above $1.2M+, brand equity strong despite high build costs. Operators who can handle capital expenditures (CapEx) typically achieve solid returns.

  • Quote Alignment: “Quality drives volume — and our operators see it in their P&Ls.” — Five Guys franchising pitch, 2024.

  • Verdict: 🟢 Premium economics that justify the premium pitch.

Freddy’s Frozen Custard & Steakburgers: Disciplined Expansion

  • Intel Check: Strong social sentiment, robust training programs, and AUVs aligned with CapEx. Newer store models reduce build-out costs.

  • Quote Alignment: “We expand where we can support franchisees for the long term.” — Freddy’s COO, 2025 development interview.

  • Verdict: 🟢 Growth story that isn’t overpromised.

The No BS Takeaway

There are plenty of burger brands throwing out flashy growth projections. But when we ran the data, only a handful consistently delivered green lights across the board.

That’s the difference between marketing hype and operator reality.

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👉 Just like sports, the coach will always say the team’s ready to dominate.
The analyst looks at the stats to see if the wins are real.

Our Intel Reports shine those lights — green, yellow, and red — so operators and investors can decide where to place their bets.